In a previous article (Renaissance, Dec 2001), the author
has argued against the abolition of interest through a legal decree. Here,
he proposes a strategy for this abolition. (Editor)
Proposed Strategy
Should we conclude that since there
had been no success in eliminating interest from the economy in the past,
we shall also not succeed and hence we should try to live with it? No.
This would be a defeatist answer. The main point of our argument is that
in the past people tried to eliminate interest through a legal decree.
They did not succeed. Trying to do so now would also not succeed. We need
to re-think our strategy. Our proposed strategy consists of three elements:
1. Creating enabling legal infrastructure for
Islamic finance
2. Changing economic policies
3. Managing the change
1. Creating Enabling Legal Infrastructure For Islamic
Finance
If we have to eliminate interest from
the economy, we need to create an alternative system of finance. There
is no disagreement on this. The present proposal says that instead of
creating a law to prohibit interest, we should concentrate in creating
an alternative system of finance which should freely compete with the interest-based
system. Only through free interaction, and based on the results of its
operations, people should freely decide to adopt the Islamic system and
discard the interest-based system. The interest-based system should become
redundant through a voluntary process of human behavior rather than through
the enforcement of law.
Muslim scholars have done commendable
research in proposing an alternative basis of Islamic finance. Some of
the more popular modes of finance and investment are: Murabahah, Mudarabah,
Musharakah, Ijarah, Ijarah wa Iqtina‘, Bay‘ Silm, Bay‘ Istisna. There
are several variations, combinations and permutations of these modes. A
lot of valuable work has also been done in financial instruments engineering.
The appropriate approach would be to create a legal infrastructure that
defines the rights and obligations of various parties under each type of
transaction. The people should have certainty and confidence in the system.
The judicial system should provide all the assurance that dealing in Islamic
finance would not lead to undue risk, fraud, or deception. The system of
Islamic finance should operate side by side with the interest-based system.
It would generate a genuine competition among the two systems. It would
be possible for the Islamic system to demonstrate, if it is really a better
system, with its results that dealing in Islamic finance makes economic
sense. It would be at that stage that the people would turn to Islamic
finance with their free will. At that time, the Islamic economists would
no longer append the famous crutches of creating the Islamic system first
and then abolishing interest. The result would attract people and it would
not be necessary to be a Muslim for benefiting from the Islamic system.
For this reason, we believe, the probability of successful elimination
of interest from those economies where the two systems are operating side
by side is higher than where it is being attempted as a global legal solution.
Need not be said that the State Bank
of Pakistan should act as a regulator for Islamic financial institutions,
as it is a regulator for conventional banks.
2. Changing Economic Policies
For eliminating interest through an
economic process, rather than by a legal decree, we need to make several
changes in our economic policies. The objective of change would be to reduce
the rate of interest to zero without interfering artificially with free
market forces. The discussion below is only indicative of the direction
that the economy should take. In actual practice, the professional economists
should consider this question in greater depth. The question is: what are
those economic changes that would help reduce the rate of interest gradually
until it withers away as an economic factor? Some tentative ideas are as
follows:
-
One of the elements in the rate of interest is the compensation
to cover the bad debt risk. The market conditions should be regulated in
such a manner that the phenomenon of bad debt is minimized. Bad debt is
a complex issue. Bad debts take place due to several reasons such as dishonesty,
natural calamities, sudden market down turns due to innovations, business
failure due to bad management, etc. The objective of economic planning
should be to curtail the possibilities of bad debts. Necessary legal as
well economic changes would be required to create circumstances for overcoming
business failures. Perhaps we can never create circumstances where businesses
would not fail. But if we were able to reduce this risk, the rate of interest
would come down.
-
One of the reasons for interest to sustain in the economy
is the dearth of lent funds. If we are able to increase the size of savings,
we can increase the supply of lent funds. Again, savings are a function
of a whole lot of factors such as income level, transaction needs, emergency
needs and investment needs of the savers. The distinctive feature of Islamic
teachings is that it attaches a very high value to simple and frugal living.
For increasing the level of savings, people will need to bring a change
in their lifestyles. Simple and contented living can help. In this area,
Islamic teachings can provide a good base.
-
One of the reasons that interest is sustaining in the economy
is that people with fixed income, pensioners, widows, and other low-income
groups need a risk-free return on their savings. Abolishing interest by
a law would hit them very hard. For this purpose, we need to strengthen
the system of social security and income maintenance. Some of the measures
in this area would be:
-
Reviewing the pension system of government employees,
enabling them to contribute to pension funds which are nvested during their
active service enabling the employees to get pension at a higher rate than
what the government can pay. This would require a good deal of actuarial
work and also a suitable climate for investment of funds.
-
Reviewing the provident fund system on the lines suggested
above in the case of pension funds.
-
Creating the infrastructure for providing a house on ownership
basis by the time a person retires from service. This type of scheme is
in vogue in the Pakistan defense forces and can be expanded with some initiative
and skill.
-
Streamlining Zakah and other social security systems
so that the poor people do not have to depend on interest income. Instead,
they should be able to make a living through Zaka#h finance. An important
feature of this policy should be to rehabilitate the poor rather than to
feed them on continuous charity.
-
Ensuring an effective system of distribution of inheritance
can also help. This would require effective implementation of inheritance
laws, especially, in favor of women and minor orphans.
-
Land reforms for empowering the landless. It would require
major legal and social changes to enable poor people to sustain through
land cultivation rather than looking up to interest income.
The limited liability of the debtor increases risk
of debt for the lender since the lenders’ position is insecure in case
of default. The lenders would like to cover themselves against this risk.
Therefore, they add a premium to the interest rate for this risk as well.
If we have to eliminate interest from the economy, we should also do away
with the concept of limited liability. This would lead to reduction in
the market rate of interest from the two sides. Firstly, it would reduce
the risk of the loan for the lenders. They would have a greater assurance
of recovery of their principal. Thus they would not need to add a premium
to cover this risk. Secondly, the debtors would also be careful in getting
the loans. In case of limited liability, the debtors have the tendency
of contracting loans recklessly. Such a tendency would be put to rest.
As a result, the demand for lent funds would be reduced. This would also
lead to a reduction in the rate of interest.
-
The credit risk is of two types: debtor-specific and system-specific.
The debtor-specific risk refers to the specific circumstances of a debtor,
or his capability to pay back the debt. The system-specific risk refers
to the environment and condition of the economy, both internal as well
external. Examples are inflation, exchange rate fluctuations, trade-deficit,
technological changes leading to business slump in a certain industry,
etc. If an economy has to reduce or eliminate interest, it must adopt such
policies as would reduce the system-specific risk to the lenders. The debtor-specific
risk, perhaps, cannot be reduced by any state policy. This would always
remain a concern of the creditor.
-
A decline in the interest rate forces the capitalists to
search for better opportunities. It persuades them to look for opportunities
in the real sector and they are tempted to undertake equity investment.
An evidence of this phenomenon can be seen in the increased inflow of FDI
during 1990s. One of the reasons for such an increase in the FDI was a
general decline in the international interest rates. It made business opportunities
in the developing countries more attractive to the investors.1
Therefore, once the rate of interest goes sufficiently low, it would make
the investors think for other options. This would discourage investment
on interest. Instead, the investors would be tempted to look for non-interest
based but real sector-based options. Thus lowering of interest rate would
set in motion a benevolent cycle, which could reinforce itself.
-
The environment for FDI has become extremely favorable. Over
years, the FDI has increased several folds. The reason is that the average
return from FDI has been higher than from investment on interest.
It shows that no amount of legislative changes would do as much as the
sheer profit motive can do. So long as it is more profitable to invest
in business, people would tend to invest on the basis of equity-participation.
The evidence of FDI is sufficient to prove this point. There has been an
upsurge in the FDI recently, despite global financial crises. The FDI flows
which remained resilient during this crisis have now become the single
largest source of more stable and reliable long term development finance
for the developing countries. These flows have expanded from $35 billion
in 1991 to $ 131 billion in 1996 and $ 192 billion in 1999.2"
…FDI to developing countries, which proved resilient in 1998 and 1999,
is likely to increase to about $ 200 billion in 2000 and $ 215 billion
in 2001,…3 ….FDI is now the
single largest source of capital flows to developing countries.4"
-
Several factors have helped increase the level of FDI. Some
of them are openness in financial flows, liberalization of investment rules
in economies, improvement in technologies relating to transportation, communication
and adoption of sound economic policies such as strengthening contract
enforcement, reduction in the risk of nationalization, and liberal rules
to transfer dividend incomes. These very factors can help increase investment
in the real sector domestically and discourage interest-based investment.
-
There are four reasons for charging interest in the capitalist
system: a) inflation; b) risk; c) administrative expenses of the lender;
d) pure interest as return for allowing use of the money. So far as the
first two are concerned, proper economic policies and regulatory and legal
framework need to be developed to reduce them to near zero. Once we are
able to reduce the risk to the lender to zero, he cannot claim a return
on his money due to risking of the loan. Similarly, if we are able
to bring down inflation to almost zero, the claim for interest does not
remain legitimate. The administrative costs to the borrower remain a legitimate
claim. Almost all Islamic economists accept that the banks can demand service
charges for providing various services to the borrowers. But they should
not be related to time or to the principal sum lent. They can and should
be equal to actual cost. They should not be a source of earning profit.
Once we are able to take care of the three items, the rate of interest
would be reduced to the level of pure rate of interest. This rate would
have to compete with return on investment on the basis of equity. In all
probability, so far as the empirical evidence goes, the return on equity
would be higher than the rate of interest. Interest would become unattractive
for everybody.
-
At present, the taxation laws accept interest as an admissible
expense while treat profits to be distributed as dividends as taxable income
of the companies. As a result, there is an incentive for the companies
to borrow money on interest and reduce their tax burden. This is a negative
incentive for investment on equity basis. If we aim at discouraging investment
on interest, the incentives need to be reversed. The interest to be paid
should be made taxable and profit to be distributed should be exempted
from tax. However, we can make the dividend taxable as part of the income
of the recipients. The interest earnings of the individuals and corporations
should be taxed heavily, and tax rebate should be given to the dividend
income. It will discourage people to invest their savings in interest-bearing
assets. At the same time, people will be encouraged to place their savings
in equities.
(a) The institution of limited
liability restricts the liability of the borrower to the extent of his
capital. If he defaults, his debt beyond his own capital will be passed
on to the creditors. This encourages the people to keep on incurring debt
recklessly.
(b) The central bank acts as a lender
as the last resort. Thus part of the risk is covered by the central bank.
The banks can always rely on it in case of difficulty. As a result, they
can adopt, at times, a careless attitude while extending loans.
(c) Deposit insurance provides a cover
to the depositors. The banks need not worry about the money of the depositors.
In case, because of the careless attitude of the banks, the bad debts accumulate,
the depositors do not suffer. So the banks need not worry about that.
(d) The insolvency laws also provide
a safety valve to the borrowers. They are required to repay the loans to
the extent of the available assets.
These are some recommendations regarding
economic policies that need to be changed if we aim at eliminating interest
from the economy through an economic mechanism.
3. Managing The Change
Elimination of interest from the economy
would change a large number of economic relationships. It would require
a careful strategy for managing the change. We have discussed this question
in greater detail elsewhere5. In the following passages, we summarize some
of the suggestions made earlier.
The government has already established
a permanent Commission for the Islamization of the Economy. One
of the primary mandates of the Commission is to eliminate interest from
the economy. But the Commission needs to be strengthened. All its members
including the chairman are working as an additional responsibility to their
full-time jobs. For example, the chairman is the Minister for Religious
Affairs, which is a large ministry within the federal government. Similar
other members are busy in their respective jobs and attend the meetings
of the Commission on request. Thus the mechanism to bring such an enormous
change is at best a part time institution. Of course, the Commission has
a secretariat but it provides secretarial support and is not responsible
for any actual policy formulation. We would, therefore, suggest that a
permanent Commission should be established with proper legal support and
full-time members to act as a conduit between the actual execution and
the overall oversight by the Parliament. Before we discuss the role and
functions of the Commission, we would like to emphasize the need for a
comprehensive legal framework for implementing alternative modes of finance
and not for prohibition of interest. The present paper does not aim at
discussing the details of the legal framework. We shall, instead, delve
into the managerial aspects of the change. The Commission should have the
following organs:
The Chairman
He should be a full-time chairman
with the status of a federal Minister. It means that his responsibility
should be exclusive of other functions. The chairman should be responsible
for overall success of the venture. The chairman will have the support
of three other organs as discussed below.
The Shari‘ah Supervisory Board
The Shari‘ah Supervisory Board
(SSB) should consist of qualified Shari‘ah scholars from all shades
and schools. The main responsibility of the SSB will be to see that the
transactions purported to be based on Islamic Shari‘ah do conform
to the Shari‘ah. For this purpose, it should be mandatory by law
for all financial institutions dealing in Islamic finance to get a clearance
from the SSB for their standard contracts and financial instruments. All
innovations in transactions by these institutions will also be cleared
by the SSB from the Shari‘ah point of view. Need not be said that
the SSB will have support of the technical staff so that there is no communication
gap between the SSB and the financial institutions. With the passage of
time, the government will bring such changes in the courses and syllabi
of the educational institutions that scholars with appropriate qualification
become available for handling the economic and financial needs of the Islamic
economy.
The Steering Committee
A steering committee of the project
consisting of representatives from the State Bank of Pakistan, the Economic
Affairs Division, the Finance Division, Banks, the Development Financial
Institutions, the Auditor General, the Bureau of Statistics and the Council
of Islamic Ideology should oversee the implementation of the whole project.
The steering committee should be responsible for all operational policies
and continuous review of the developments taking place in the economy because
of the Islamization efforts.
The Project Director
Project Director (PD), an officer
of the rank of a federal secretary, should be the chief executive of the
project of Islamization of the economy. He should have the necessary powers
to carry out the work across various sectors in the economy. The law should
decide the powers and responsibilities of the Project Director. In brief,
he should not be hamstrung by bureaucratic red tape. He would monitor the
operations of those financial institutions that choose to adopt Islamic
finance as a mode of their business. The Project Director should have four
wings each headed by a Deputy Project Director. The Deputy Projector Directors
should have following the Directorates under them:
a) Deputy Project Director-I:
i) Director
General (Training)
ii) Director
General (Media)
iii) Director
General (Educational Institutions)
b) Deputy Project Director-II
i) Director
General (Financial Institutions)
ii) Director
General (Government Transactions)
c) Deputy Project Director-III
i) Director
General (Shari#‘ah Audit)
ii)
Director General (Economic Analysis)
iii) Director
General ( Research & Development)
d) Deputy Project Director-IV
i) Director
General (Finance)
ii) Director
General (Administration)
The Deputy Project Director-IV will
have the responsibility for finance and administration. For others we give
a brief description of their responsibilities.
-
Director General (Training): He shall be responsible for
the training of banking staff and officers in the concepts, and mechanics
of the Islamic financial system. He shall develop appropriate teaching
material and set up training institutes for this purpose. Besides in-service
training of the banking staff, he shall also offer diploma and certificate
courses for young graduates to meet future staffing needs of the financial
sector. These courses will also be available to the personnel of other
Muslim countries.
-
Director General (Media): He shall be responsible for developing
a close liaison with the television, radio and press of the country and
abroad. He shall develop programs, features, films and other promotional
material to introduce the concept of Islamic financial system. He shall
also respond to any unfair criticism of the change program and clarify
the official position. He shall encourage dialogue and debate in the media
on various aspects of the change program. He shall also prepare briefing
material for the steering committee and the chairman indicating such policy
changes as may be suggested by the media and the public.
-
Director General (Educational Institutions): He shall be
responsible for planning appropriate changes in the courses and syllabi
of educational institutions at all levels. He shall sponsor development
of teaching material for various classes that incorporate theoretical and
practical aspects of the Islamic economy. These books and other teaching
material shall be freely available for those institutions that opt to teach
Islamic economics to their students. However, the government educational
institutions will adopt this material as a mandatory component. He shall
also coordinate with private sector educational and training institutions
for offering training courses on Islamic finance through them.
-
Director General (Shari‘ah Audit): The Director General
(Shari‘ah Audit) will have the responsibility for ensuring that
the financial institutions purporting to offer Islamic finance ought to
be doing so in letter and spirit, and that the change is not merely in
name. The Director General and his staff could be drawn from the Auditor
General’s department and corps of Shari‘ah scholars with the consent
of the SSB.
-
Director General (Economic Analysis): He will be responsible
for collecting information on the state of economy regarding specified
indicators like saving, investment, prices, money supply, international
capital flows, stock exchange activity, etc. With the help of professional
economists, he shall develop periodic reports on the effects of Islamization
on various economic variables. His reports will be a major resource for
conceiving any strategic moves in the implementation plans.
-
Director General (Research & Development): He shall be
responsible for basic and applied research in the Islamization of the economy.
At a primary level, he should collect information on the actual state of
Islamization in the economy. But over a long term, he shall conceive projects
in creating new knowledge in this field. His reports will provide a continuous
source for improving the implementation of the project.
Some Related Issues
1. Leadership Role of the Government
The strategy proposed in this paper
makes Islamization of financial institutions a voluntary process. It perceives
to eliminate interest from the economy through an economic mechanism. The
legal process only supports the effort but does not make dealing in interest
as illegal. In this scenario, the question arises: what is the role of
the state? Shall it remain a silent spectator to the Islamization process
or would it play any active role in it. Our suggestion is that the government
should play the leadership role in eliminating interest from the economy.
It should move in the following direction:
-
The government should make a clear and unequivocal statement
of its intentions of introducing and supporting the process of Islamization
of the economy and elimination of interest.
-
It should initiate a planned effort to eliminate interest
from its own transactions. For example, it should eliminate interest from
state provident funds, inter-provincial financial transactions, loans to
government employees, loans from the State Bank of Pakistan, saving schemes,
state loans to public enterprises. For all these transactions, the government
should prepare a plan in collaboration with the Commission for Islamization
of the Economy and put these plans into practice over an extended period.
-
The government should decide in principle that it would not
contract any future loans on interest so far as it is possible.
-
The government should place before the legislature every
year a detailed report on the extent to which it was successful in eliminating
interest from its transactions.
-
The government should initiate economic and fiscal policies
that encourage elimination of interest from the economy and discourage
dealings in interest.
2 Adjudication of Interest-based Contracts
An important question is about the
role of courts in adjudicating disputes arising from interest-based contracts
and transactions. Once we accept that Islam has prohibited interest, to
what extent should courts of an Islamic state continue adjudicating disputes
relating to interest claims? Ideally, the courts of the Islamic state should
not adjudicate these claims as these contracts were un-Islamic to begin
with. However, the contemporary scene is that all financial institutions
are based on interest. If the legal system of the country refuses to recognize
interest-based transactions, the financial institutions that are holding
the wealth of the entire society, would be without any anchor. There would
be total chaos. It is essential that such a situation should not arise.
Therefore, for some period of time the courts should continue adjudicating
the interest-based disputes. However, as part of the process of encouraging
Islamic finance, the government and other NGOs committed to this cause
should educate people about the harmful effects of interest and about the
benefits of Islamic finance. This should continue until a majority of transactions
of the financial institutions are based on an Islamic mode. Since this
has to be a voluntary process, it would be slow. It would take a long period
of time as the interest-based institutions have taken a long time to establish
and spread. Till then, the courts should continue adjudicating cases relating
to claims of interest or other issues relating to interest based finance.
Concluding Remarks
Elimination of interest from the economy
is not wholly a legal process. Even if we pass a law to abolish it,
it will not wither away. Economic compulsions would sustain it, even though
as a black-market phenomenon. If we have to abolish interest, we would
need to create such economic conditions that would make interest redundant.
It means that at the end of the day, it should not be in the self-interest
of the people to deal in interest. The interest-based transactions should
be more expensive as compared to equity-based transactions. So, it should
be a market-based solution.
|